
Carlo Carrenho, a contributing editor at Publishing Perspectives, analyzes current trends in the publishing industry across various global markets, including China, Japan, the Nordics, Brazil, and Latin America.
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In the contemporary landscape of publishing, artificial intelligence is a prominent topic, creating a mix of anxiety, curiosity, and resistance across multiple regions. Many countries face challenges with bookstores, leading to discussions about public policy, pricing, and methods for discovering new literature. Meanwhile, the audiobook market continues to expand, although the rate of growth varies vastly by location.
China illustrates significant shifts in the publishing market, as indicated by OpenBook’s recent report stating that the overall book retail market declined by 2.24% in 2025. However, sales driven by content—primarily through short videos and livestreams on platforms like Douyin—grew by 30.43%, now representing 40.53% of the market. This change signifies a reorganization of how readers discover books, with online content surpassing traditional shelf-based retail for the first time.
Japan presents another unique scenario, especially with its manga market, which comprised 44.8% of the market in 2025, according to the Publishing Science Institute. The Japanese government aims to significantly boost overseas sales of Japanese content, planning to increase figures from ¥6.1 trillion (about $38.9 billion) in 2024 to ¥20 trillion (approximately $127.6 billion) by 2033. This involves Japanese publishers taking a more active role in international markets, including strategic acquisitions and direct initiatives to reach global audiences.
In the Nordic countries, audiobooks represent a dominant segment of the market. In Sweden, for example, audio accounted for 61.1% of total units sold in 2025, indicating a deeply embedded subscription-driven audio culture. Platforms like Spotify and Audible are entering the space, reflecting a market where digital audio is central to the publishing ecosystem.
Poland, with a growing audiobook market valued at about $61 million in 2024, exhibits a different dynamic as multiple subscription platforms compete for space, including Audioteka, Empik Go, and Storytel. Recently, Novelist launched as a collaborative effort among Polish publishers, signifying the rare occurrence of industry players uniting to enhance their retail presence.
Brazil presents a contrasting landscape, where government purchases significantly impact the book market, which was valued at approximately $1.31 billion in 2025, with about $402 million coming from government sales. This intertwines trade and educational publishing with public policy, particularly through initiatives like the MEC Livros digital platform.
In Spanish-speaking Latin America, BuscaLibre emerges as a regional alternative to Amazon, addressing logistical challenges while enhancing local catalogue availability. Public policy plays a fundamental role across the region, with calls for regulatory support gaining traction amidst market pressures.
Portugal stands out in Europe with a 7.6% growth in market value in 2025, while other European countries like Germany and France face declines. Much of Portugal’s growth stemmed from coloring books; however, it showcases a successful year for the publishing sector in contrast to broader trends.
Lastly, an unexpected development in Spain saw Aena, the airport operator, launching the world's richest fiction prize, the Premio Aena de Narrativa Hispanoamericana, worth €1 million for the winner, awarded to Argentine author Samanta Schweblin for her work 'El buen mal.'
Ultimately, the global publishing industry, while facing similar pressures, continues to demonstrate its diversity and creativity, showcasing unique characteristics across different markets.
This article was originally featured in the Publishing Perspectives print magazine at the 2026 Frankfurter Buchmesse.